Effect of Socio-economic Conditions, Coalition, and Party Identification toward Voter Choice in Indonesian Legislative Election

The 2004, 2009, and 2014 Indonesian legislative election were held with unique political conditions on each of them. This research uses the data within these elections to test the external validity of several voting theories from other literatures, particularly on socio-economic determinants, coalition, and party identification effect toward voter choice. The results are as follow: Indonesian voter doesn’t really take current local economic growth into consideration; there is no evidence that they hold all parties in governing coalition accountable equally; there are only weak evidences for poor economic performance to only benefit extreme opposition parties; they do vote against governing parties due to strategic voting and there exist cost of ruling effect for them; being in a coalition do affect individual party’s vote shares significantly; they doesn’t seem to consider social and economic situation significantly yet in general; and Party Identification effect is still significant on affecting voter choice.