Forecasting Politics in 2024: Arbitrage, Efficiency, Polling Influence, User Bias, and Event Reactions in Prediction Markets

Additional Metadata
Keywords	Prediction markets, Arbitrage, Elections, Cryptocurrency, Cointegration
Thesis Advisor	Urquhart, Andrew, Cosemans, Mathijs
Persistent URL	hdl.handle.net/2105/78681
Series	Finance & Investments
Organisation	Rotterdam School of Management
Citation APA APA Style APA-ALL Style AAA Style Cell Style Chicago Style Harvard Style IEEE Style MLA Style Nature Style Vancouver Style American-Institute-of-Physics Style Council-of-Science-Editors Style BibTex Format Endnote Format RIS Format CSL Format DOIs only Format	Gurbaj, Branko. (2025). Forecasting Politics in 2024: Arbitrage, Efficiency, Polling Influence, User Bias, and Event Reactions in Prediction Markets. In Finance & Investments.http://hdl.handle.net/2105/78681

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